Nov 30, 2005:

Cyclonic storm BAAZ that is stationed in the Bay of Bengal is intensifying with its movement towards west-northwesterly direction at an approximate speed of 13 km per hour. Its landfall is expected to be by noon on 1st December 2005 somewhere between Chennai and Machilipatnam.

The expected movement of BAAZ as on 29 Nov at 2330 IST (1800 GMT) is:

Date	Time	Location	Wind Speed(per hour)
29 Nov. 2005	1730 (IST) 1200 (GMT)	12 N, 84 E	40 Knots 74.29 kms
29 Nov. 2005	2330 (IST) 1800 (GMT)	12.1 N, 83.5 E	45 Knots 83.57 kms
30 Nov. 2005	0530 (IST) 0000 (GMT)	12.5 N, 82.9 E	45 Knots 83.57 kms
30 Nov. 2005	1130 (IST) 0600 (GMT)	13.0 N, 82.3 E	50 Knots 92.86 kms
30 Nov. 2005	1730 (IST) 1200 (GMT)	13.6 N, 81.7 E	50 Knots 92.86 kms
30 Nov. 2005	2330 (IST) 1800 (GMT)	14.2 N, 81.0 E	55 Knots 102.14 kms
01 Dec. 2005	0530 (IST) 0000 (GMT)	14.5 N, 80.2 E	55 Knots 102.14 kms

The eastern coast of India will be influenced by BAAZ. The area between Chennai and Machilipatnam will be greatly affected. The area will experience rainfall during the next 24 hours. Gale speed reaching 80-90 kmph is expected to hit northern coast of Tamil Nadu.

Impact of Cyclonic Storms and Suggested Mitigation Actions

Category: Deep Depression
T.No.: T 2.0
Wind Speed: 28 - 33 Knots (52 - 61 Kmph)
Structures: Minor damage to loose/unsecured structures.
Road/Rail: Some breaches in kutcha road due to flooding.
Communications: Minor
Agriculture: Minor damage to banana trees and near-coastal agriculture due to salt spray. Damage to ripe paddy crops.
Marine Interests: Very rough seas. Sea waves about 4-6 m high.
Coastal Zone: Minor damage to kutcha embankments.
Overall Damage Category: Minor
Suggested Actions: Fishermen advised not to venture into sea.

Category: Cyclonic Storm
T.No.: T 2.5-T3.0
Wind Speed: 34 -47 Knots (62 -87 Kmph)

Structures: Damage to thatched huts.
Road/Rail: Major damage to kutcha and minor damage to pucca roads.
Communications: Minor damage to power and communication lines due to breaking of tree branches.
Agriculture: Some damage to paddy crops, banana, papaya trees and orchards.
Marine Interests: High to very high sea waves about 6 - 9 m high.
Coastal Zone: Sea water inundation in low lying areas after erosion of kutcha embankments.
Overall Damage Category: Minor to Moderate
Suggested Actions: Fishermen advised not to venture into sea.

Category: Severe Cyclonic Storm
T.No.: T3.5
Wind Speed: 48 -63 Knots (88 -117Kmph)

Structures: Major damage to thatched houses/huts. Roof tops may blow off. Unattached metal sheets may fly.
Road/Rail: Major damage to kutcha and some damage to pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes.
Communications: Minor damage to power and communication lines.
Agriculture: Breaking of tree branches, uprooting of large avenue trees. Moderate damage to banana and papaya trees. Large dead limbs blown from trees.
Marine Interests: Phenomenal seas with wave height 9-14 m. Movement in motor boats unsafe.
Coastal Zone: Major damage to coastal crops. Storm surge upto 1.5m (area-specific) causing damage to embankments/salt pans. Inundation upto 5 Km in specific areas.
Overall Damage Category: Moderate
Suggested Actions: Fishermen advised not to venture into sea. Coastal hutment dwellers advised to move to safer places. Other people in the affected areas to remain indoors.

Category: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
T.No.: T4.0-T4.5
Wind Speed: 64 -90 Knots (118 -167Kmph) Structures: Total destruction of thatched houses/ extensive damage to kutcha houses. Some damage to pucca houses. Potential threat from flying objects.
Road/Rail: Major damage to kutcha and pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes. Minor disruption of railways, overhead power lines and signalling systems.
Communications: Bending/ uprooting of power and communication poles.
Agriculture: Widespread damage to standing crops, plantations, orchards, falling of green coconuts and tearing of palm fronds. Blowing down of bushy trees like mango.
Marine Interests: Phenomenal seas with wave heights more than 14m. Visibility severely affected. Movement in motor boats and small ships unsafe.
Coastal Zone: Storm surge upto 2 m. Inundation upto 10 Km in specific areas. Small boats, country crafts may get detached from moorings. Overall Damage Category: Large
Suggested Actions: Fishermen not to venture into sea. Evacuation from coastal areas needs to be mobilized. People advised to remain indoors. Judicious regulation of rail and road traffic needed.

Category: Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
T.No.: T5.0-T6.0
Wind Speed: 91 - 119 Knots (168 -221 Kmph)

Structures: Extensive damage to all types of kutcha houses, some damage to old badly managed pucca structures. Potential threat from flying objects.
Road/Rail: Disruption of rail/road link at several places.
Communications: Extensive uprooting of communication and power poles.
Agriculture: Extensive damage to standing crops, plantations, orchards. Blowing down of palm and coconut trees. Uprooting of large bushy trees.
Marine Interests: Phenomenal seas with wave heights of more than 14 m. Movement in motor boats and small ships not advisable.
Coastal Zone: Storm surge of 2 - 5 m. Inundation may extend upto 10-15 Km over specific areas. Large boats and ships may get torn from their moorings. Overall Damage Category: Extensive
Suggested Actions: Fishermen not to venture into sea. Evacuation from coastal areas essential. Diversion / suspension of rail traffic may be required.

Category: Super Cyclonic Storm T.No.: T6.5 and above Wind Speed: 120 Knots and above (222 Kmph and above)

Structures: Extensive damage to non-concrete residential and industrial buildings. Structural damage to concrete structures. Air full of large projectiles
Road/Rail: Extensive damage to kutcha roads and some damage to poorly repaired pucca roads. Large scale submerging of coastal roads due to flooding and sea water inundation. Total disruption of railway and road traffic due to major damages to bridges, signals and railway tracks. Washing away of rail/road links at several places.
Communications: Uprooting of communication and power poles. Total disruption of communications and power supply.
Agriculture: Total destruction of standing crops/ orchards, uprooting of large trees and blowing away of palm and coconut crowns, stripping of tree barks. Marine Interests: Phenomenal seas with wave heights of more than 14 m. All shipping activity unsafe.
Coastal Zone: Extensive damage to port installations. Storm surge more than 5m. Inundation upto 40 km in specific areas and extensive beach erosion. All ships torn from their moorings. Flooding of escape routes.
Overall Damage Category: Catastrophic
Suggested Actions: Fishermen not to venture into sea. Large scale evacuations needed. Total stoppage of rail and road traffic needed in vulnerable areas.

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